Why Normalcy Bias Can Wreck Your Decisions
The most expensive sentence in any planning meeting is four words long: “that’s never happened before.” Normalcy bias is the mind’s quiet refusal to prepare…
-
-
Raul Castro Indicted and Arrest By the U.S. Armed Forces Is Next
On May 20, 2026, federal prosecutors in Miami unsealed a superseding indictment charging Raúl Modesto Castro Ruz — 94 — with conspiracy to kill U.S.
-
DOJ: China Locked In a Shipping Cartel. The Timing Is Sus.
On January 22, 2026, the U.S. Department of Justice unsealed a superseding indictment in the Northern District of California against six Chinese companies —…
-
Cuban Intelligence Archives Could Change the World
On May 14, CIA Director John Ratcliffe flew to Havana. He met Colonel Raúl Guillermo Rodríguez Castro — head of the Castro family’s personal security detail…
-
Lying about intelligence for game theory purposes
On May 14, 2026, a cargo ship was sunk off the coast of Oman and a tanker was seized at an anchorage in the United Arab Emirates.
-
Castro to Be Indicted
On May 14, 2026, CIA Director John Ratcliffe landed in Havana — only the second sitting CIA director to do so in 67 years.
-
Trump Wins at Beijing Summit
The Beijing summit wrapped May 14, 2026. Xi Jinping walked away with a fentanyl tariff cut from 20% to 10%, a one-year pause on the rare-earth export…
-
Trump Strong in Beijing — Sixteen Months of Receipts
The conventional wisdom heading into the May 14–15 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing is that the President is walking into negotiations from a weakened position.
-
Democratic California Mayor Admits to Spying for China
On May 11, 2026, the US Department of Justice announced that Eileen Wang — the Democratic mayor of Arcadia, California — will plead guilty under 18 U.S.C.
-
Brits Defend Armenian Democracy From Russia — TRIPP, Sanctions, and the 49 Names
On May 11, 2026, the British Foreign Office sanctioned 85 Russian individuals and entities.
