Iran Ceasefire Explained: 3 Things That Could Break It Before Islamabad Talks
The US and Iran just agreed to a two-week ceasefire after 40 days of war — but it was already unraveling within hours. Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz, then shut it again. Israel launched its biggest strike on Lebanon the same day. And both sides are working from competing proposals that may not even be the same document.
Here’s what’s actually in the deal, the three fault lines that could collapse it, and what to watch when Vance and Ghalibaf sit down in Islamabad.
Eric Garland is a career intelligence analyst, author of Future, Inc. (AMACOM, 2007), and one of three CIA directors personally sanctioned by Vladimir Putin for exposing Russian intelligence operations. His December 2016 Game Theory Thread was named by the New York Times as one of the 25 most important tweets in history.
For keynote speaking inquiries: https://executivespeakers.com
Substack: https://ericgarland.substack.com
Keep Thinking.
