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What a Comedy About Stalin Tells You About Iran Right Now

Game Theory Today · Short · 2:20 · Published 2026-04-06 on YouTube

If you want to understand what’s happening inside Iran right now, don’t watch the news — watch a 2017 comedy called The Death of Stalin. Because what happens when a dictator drops dead is not a disciplined transfer of power. It’s a room full of panicked men trying to figure out who’s in charge, who’s cutting a deal, and who’s going to get shot.
This video brings together the full series on cognitive biases from the CIA’s training manual — centralization bias, mirror imaging, and the lifestyle indicators that reveal what these regimes actually are behind the ideology. The answer isn’t a Bond villain with a master plan. It’s a criminal enterprise whose boss just died.
This is the fourth video in a series applying Richards Heuer’s Psychology of Intelligence Analysis to the current situation in Iran.
Eric Garland is a career intelligence analyst, futurist, and keynote speaker. He was personally sanctioned by Vladimir Putin in 2022 for his work exposing Russian intelligence operations, and was named by the New York Times as having written one of the 25 most important tweets in history. He is the author of Future, Inc. (AMACOM, 2007) and How to Predict the Future…and WIN!
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