Why software will never replace intelligence analysts
I’m excited to be speaking at the Business Forecasting and Analytics Summit in Chicago on September 21. My closing keynote is “The Future of…
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Probability bias and strategic mind traps
As a preview to my new course on intelligence analysis, How to Avoid Strategic Mind Traps, I’m examining the various categories of cognitive bias that…
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How to use trend analysis for business strategy
The basis of our work at Competitive Futures is trend analysis, the study of data that shows how the world is changing over time. This sounds very…
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Elegy for my mentor, Joe Coates
It was with great sadness that I learned recently of the death of my friend and mentor, Joseph F. Coates. It is with an equal sense of joy and…
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Eric Garland Keynote Speech on Intelligence at IBRAMERC
Iʼm very excited and proud to be at the worldʼs largest professional event for market intelligence. From what I have seen from the participants and the management, it may also be the worldʼs best as well. If anybody,…
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Lessons from forty years of intelligence analysis
This is a very cool piece from a deputy director at the CIA (not the Culinary Institute of America) about enduring lessons from a life spent doing the…
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Training analysts like athletes
My good friends over at Aurora WDC have recently made a major coup in engaging Dr. Craig Fleisher to run their training program. Craig and Aurora WDC…
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Numbers are just relationships
My friend and colleague August Jackson says that in most management contexts, fake numbers will win out over real logic. Pie charts sound warm and…
