Mirror Imaging: The CIA’s Warning About Predicting Iran
Right now, millions of smart people are trying to predict what Iran will do next. Most of them are making the same mistake — one the CIA identified decades…
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Why John Bolton’s Espionage Case Still Matters
Why John Bolton’s Espionage Case Still Matters — a Game Theory Today short by Eric Garland.
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America is Simultaneously Going to the Moon and Destroying Russia’s Proxies
The Artemis II isn’t just the first crewed lunar mission in 50 years, it’s also a galactic flex on Vladimir Putin.
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Availability Bias – A Cognitive Mind Trap to Avoid
Here’s how professional intelligence analysts keep away from the most dangerous logical fallacies – and why you should learn more about analytic tradecraft
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Trump Tariffs After One Year Are Positive
It’s a year since President Trump declared Liberation Day and jacked up tariffs around the world. We were told by experts the economy would crash.
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Trump Predicts the Cuban Regime Will Collapse Despite the Russian Oil Tanker
Putin’s sanctioned ship got through to Cuba but Trump says he’s ready to help rebuild the island’s economy because he’s sure Russia can’t save the regime.
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We Can Defeat Russian Intelligence Operations Against America Together
Russia’s operation against American democracy didn’t end in 2016. It’s still running against left right and center simultaneously.
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Russia is still attacking U.S. democracy
Russia’s influence operation against American democracy is still active — targeting every faction, deepening every division, regardless of your politics.
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I Predicted Putin Would Lose in 2018. Here’s the Receipt.
And here’s the link to the thread mentioned in the video.
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Did Putin Just Surrender to Trump Over Cuba?
By abandoning Cuba when it needed crude oil to keep its electrical grid running, Vladimir Putin may have just ended the Cold War-for good.
