Live in Toronto, Ontario at the Casualty Actuarial Society, this keynote by Competitive Futures’ Managing Partner Eric Garland explores how computational power, ubiquitous sensors, and artificial intelligence will…
The Cuban intelligence service, originally the Dirección General de Inteligencia (DGI) and later known as the Dirección de Inteligencia (DI), has a storied history rooted in the Cuban Revolution and the Cold War.…
Strategic Foresight: Integrating Intelligence and Innovation In a world marked by rapid technological progress and evolving geopolitical landscapes, organizations must adopt integrative strategies to remain competitive.…
Remember, guys–if elicitation is done properly, nobody except your clients will remember that it was done. To be unforgettable as an intelligence collector, be forgettable in the…
Herd instinct is a legacy from our biological membership in the family of primates. We work better together in groups, and those groups need to show various kinds of cohesion in order to function. We learn early that we…
From where we are sitting, intelligence is easy and cognitive bias is hard. When an analyst joins the profession, they might believe that 95% of the effort is in collecting and analyzing the intelligence itself–trying…
In our training course How to Avoid Strategic Mind Traps, we examine the role of cognitive bias in distorting out view of the future. The course explores social biases, memory biases, decision-making biases, and…
BRIEFING — Deep Dive: The Iraq War Intelligence Fraud An intelligence analyst walks the audience line by line through the 2002 National Intelligence…
BRIEFING — I Got Sanctioned By Russia
People love to think about future trends. Hearing about new technologies and emerging social behavior is always engaging when it comes to TV programs and once-a-year magazine pieces. Yet in our two decades of consulting…