How would Ricky Bobby do strategic intelligence?
Mark Johnson gave me the idea for this allegory for “decisions without strategic intelligence.”
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May I offer some bad advice about the future?
At times, it seems repetitive to tell people how to look at the future. In many ways, like golf, it’s a simple process you must practice. No shortcuts.…
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Forecasting works: Functional foods 1999 – 2009
Today, the airwaves are filled with advertisements for consumer foods that aren’t simply nourishing but portrayed as practically medicine. A slew of…
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In praise of forecasting: a series
The above are classic canards used by the media and some authority figures to argue against the intellectual exercise of thinking critically about the…
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You are not crazy, and forecasting works
If you watch the TeeVee Box, the world and its institutions seem inherently irrational. It’s a world of crazy risk, cataclysmic downfalls, nonsensical…
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And they mock FUTURISTS for bad forecasts…
This morning I awoke to the news that Obama will be nominating Ben Bernanke for another turn at the helm of the Federal Reserve.
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Numbers are just relationships
My friend and colleague August Jackson says that in most management contexts, fake numbers will win out over real logic. Pie charts sound warm and…
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Our view of history guides our view of the future
One of the main reasons given for not studying the future is that it is inherently difficult and inaccurate. After all, we don’t have any FACTS to rely…
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Check your assumptions – it appears to be the hot new style
How funny that the tools and principles of foresight are coming into vogue, this time without even the mention of a flying car or a rocket pack.
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What I Got Right in 2007 — My George Mason Graduate School Commencement Address
KEYNOTE — What I Got Right in 2007 This is the keynote I delivered to the graduating class of the George Mason University Graduate School in Fairfax,…
