Garland’s law of foresight journalism – why the news gets it wrong
Garland’s Law of Foresight Journalism is a well-researched theory that guides the actions of magazine and newspaper editors, as well as television…
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When they say you cannot know the future, they are planning it for you
Tonight, I am hosting an event in Downtown Saint Louis (map below) to officially launch my new book, How to Predict the Future…and WIN!!! The chance to…
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Hating on futurists
There was a great interaction on Twitter this weekend I just happened to overhear regarding the following question:
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What real forecasting looks like
Competitive Futures has a theme for all of our products and services in 2010: real forecasting.
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May I offer some bad advice about the future?
At times, it seems repetitive to tell people how to look at the future. In many ways, like golf, it’s a simple process you must practice. No shortcuts.…
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Forecasting works: Functional foods 1999 – 2009
Today, the airwaves are filled with advertisements for consumer foods that aren’t simply nourishing but portrayed as practically medicine. A slew of…
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In praise of forecasting: a series
The above are classic canards used by the media and some authority figures to argue against the intellectual exercise of thinking critically about the…
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You are not crazy, and forecasting works
If you watch the TeeVee Box, the world and its institutions seem inherently irrational. It’s a world of crazy risk, cataclysmic downfalls, nonsensical…
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And they mock FUTURISTS for bad forecasts…
This morning I awoke to the news that Obama will be nominating Ben Bernanke for another turn at the helm of the Federal Reserve.
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Numbers are just relationships
My friend and colleague August Jackson says that in most management contexts, fake numbers will win out over real logic. Pie charts sound warm and…
