The Treasury Secretary moved onto a military base over Iranian threats. Courts in New York, Hamburg, and London show why: the Iran plots that ended in convictions this year.
What Iran gave Russia after February 2022: Shahed drones, the Alabuga factory, Fath-360 missiles, and Caspian ammunition, documented from primary sources.
A senator’s Iran missile claim and a 19-nation hemisphere coalition drew the same reaction: never heard of it. The availability heuristic explains why, and Heuer explains the fix.
The Donroe Doctrine after the 2026 midterms: which governments in the Americas aligned with the U.S., what they have signed, and why it outlasts Congress.
Romania wants Oemis Romagoza Durruthy, a Cuban in Russia accused of paying saboteurs in four EU countries. What the warrant adds, and what it can’t do.
Did the Iran war decide the 2026 midterms? Democrats won both chambers, but Iraq in 2004 had fifty times the deaths and twice the cost, and Bush was re-elected.
On November 4, 2026, Hungary’s Historical Archives of the State Security Services made the informant registry of the country’s communist-era political police searchable by name.
My 2011 satire How to Predict the Future…and WIN! offered 25 tips for failing at foresight. Reading them again fifteen years later, I notice that a surprising number are about the same thing. They are not really about predicting the future. They are about how organizations make it unsafe to see what is already in…
Tip 16 of my 2011 satire How to Predict the Future…and WIN! was a piece of advice I still hear in boardrooms, usually without the irony: “Never make comparisons to history! Those jerks didn’t even have computers!” The serious answer underneath it included a pattern I have been watching ever since: “Every new information technology…
271 people have been charged in federal voter fraud cases since 2021, 185 of them in the two months before the midterms. A game-theory read of the California fight, and why Russia, China and Iran win on distrust.