The U.S. Is Changing the Game for Dictatorships Like Iran
By arresting Iranian regime family members in Los Angeles, the United States is changing the game for how dictatorships maintain a foothold in the countries…
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What a Comedy About Stalin Tells You About Iran Right Now
If you want to understand what’s happening inside Iran right now, don’t watch the news — watch a 2017 comedy called The Death of Stalin.
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My Next Book! And The Next Phase of Future Intelligence
My TikTok is viral, I’m writing a book, and chat with me here if you have questions!
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Mirror Imaging: The CIA’s Warning About Predicting Iran
Right now, millions of smart people are trying to predict what Iran will do next. Most of them are making the same mistake — one the CIA identified decades…
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Soleimani’s Family Arrested in Los Angeles: The Three Stories Nobody’s Connecting
The niece of Qassem Soleimani — the IRGC general the United States killed in 2020 — was just arrested in Los Angeles. She and her daughter had their…
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How to Think About Iran Negotiating with Trump
Don’t Just Think About What Iran Does, but Which Iran
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Why John Bolton’s Espionage Case Still Matters
Why John Bolton’s Espionage Case Still Matters — a Game Theory Today short by Eric Garland.
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America is Simultaneously Going to the Moon and Destroying Russia’s Proxies
The Artemis II isn’t just the first crewed lunar mission in 50 years, it’s also a galactic flex on Vladimir Putin.
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Availability Bias – A Cognitive Mind Trap to Avoid
Here’s how professional intelligence analysts keep away from the most dangerous logical fallacies – and why you should learn more about analytic tradecraft
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Trump Tariffs After One Year Are Positive
It’s a year since President Trump declared Liberation Day and jacked up tariffs around the world. We were told by experts the economy would crash.
