Cognitive Bias: A Field Guide for Leaders Who Must Decide Under Uncertainty
What cognitive bias is, the six families that wreck strategy, and the methods that work, from Richards Heuer’s CIA classic to the premortem.
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Strategic Foresight: Integrating Intelligence and Innovation
Strategic Foresight: Integrating Intelligence and Innovation In a world marked by rapid technological progress and evolving geopolitical landscapes, organizations must adopt integrative strategies to remain competitive.…
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The Impact/Probability Matrix: A Scenario Planning Tool
Scenarios are the basic tool for any serious strategic planning effort. If your organization does trend analysis and/or collects expert forecasts, then…
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The Future Intelligence Process
Competitive Futures has been providing global businesses and government agencies with strategic intelligence based on The Future Intelligence Process…
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An effective tool to use scenarios in your business planning
We frequently talk about future trends and trend analysis, but the story doesn’t stop there. Ultimately, your efforts in tracking trends should be all…
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Best books to get you started in futures studies
Futures studies can seem like both an esoteric art and a complex social science, impenetrable to the neophyte and indispensable for the modern leader.…
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Update on the strategic wargame in St. Louis
A few weeks ago I decided to treat the events around the death of Michael Brown like a strategic wargame used by executives to predict actor behavior…
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What real forecasting looks like
Competitive Futures has a theme for all of our products and services in 2010: real forecasting.
